Catchment Modeling

Understanding real customer origin patterns to define accurate franchise trade areas.

What is Catchment Modeling

Catchment Modeling is a geographic analysis method that identifies where customers actually come from when they visit or engage a business. Rather than relying on theoretical boundaries or proximity assumptions, the catchment area is determined based on real world customer behavior such as address data, foot traffic analytics or order delivery records.

Catchment areas are essential to understanding how a franchise location pulls business from its surrounding market and how that pattern should influence future territory structures.


Why It Matters in Franchising

Accurate mapping of customer origins helps franchisors:

• Validate whether proposed trade areas match realistic buying behavior
• Reduce reliance on assumptions that can lead to overestimated performance
• Support Item Nineteen earnings expectations with behavior driven data
• Confirm Protected Territories reflect true competitive reach
• Improve lead allocations and marketing strategies
• Prioritize expansion where demand already exists

Catchment insights often reveal that theoretical boundaries do not match actual customer movement.


How Catchment Modeling Works

The process begins with a dataset that ties customer locations to the franchised business. This may include:

• Point of Sale data tied to ZIP Code or full address
• Delivery order history
• Membership or CRM records
• Third party mobility data or mobile signal analytics
• Survey based location profiling sources

Geospatial software then maps those origin points, often weighting them by frequency or revenue value. The resulting shape represents the true trade area based on demand rather than geography alone.


Types of Catchment Areas

Catchment modeling can assess different levels of engagement including:

Primary catchment where the majority of revenue originates
Secondary catchment representing occasional but measurable activity
Tertiary catchment identifying fringe influence and growth potential

These designations help franchisors refine marketing strategies and territory coverage expectations.


Use Cases Across Franchise Systems

Catchment modeling is critical when:

• Expanding into new markets using existing performance analogs
• Analyzing competitive encroachment from independent operators
• Calibrating franchise marketing contributions based on market access
• Evaluating whether an underperforming unit has adequate demand reach

It creates a defensible bridge between analytics and franchise governance.


How Zors Supports Catchment Insights

Zors allows franchisors to import or analyze customer location data and visualize them against existing territories with contact mapping. By observing where customers cluster and which territories they fall within, franchisors can:

• Confirm alignment between awarded rights and actual performance
• Identify underserved pockets within a market
• Evaluate expansion opportunities using proven demand
• Categorize Areas consistently for both legal and operational use

All territory layers remain unified in a single territory mapping platform, enabling cross team visibility as systems scale.


Related Terms

Drive Time Map
Isochrone
Isochrone Surface Modeling
Voronoi Partitioning
Franchise Territory
Kernel Density Estimation
Lead to Territory Assignment


Related Features

Franchise Territory Mapping
Contact Mapping
Point of Interest Mapping


Related Blogs

How Far Will Customers Travel for Your Business?


Last updated: December 4, 2025